Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores · SIC 5600

VINCE HOLDING CORP.

VNCE

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Latest revenue

$85.1M

as of 2025-11-01

Latest net income

$2.7M

as of 2025-11-01

Net margin

3.2%

as of 2025-11-01

Community sentiment

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VNCE vs S&P 500 · rebased to 100

-30.2% / yr 40.4 pts / yr vs S&P 500(S&P 500 +10.2% / yr) 98.6% total
Compare:
Early cycleMid cycleLate cycleRecession

Background shading marks the US business-cycle phase at each point in time — early, mid and late expansion, then recession— so you can see which economic backdrop each move happened in. Recessions are NBER-official; expansion sub-phases are ActaClear's editorial dating.

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Live market

as of Jun 27, 2026
$7.72
1.91%
Market cap
$99.2M
Enterprise value
$139.3M
P/E (trailing)
15.6×
Forward P/E
P/B
1.98×
Dividend yield
0.0%
52-wk high
$8.20
52-wk low
$1.19
Beta
Shares out
12.8M

What this company does

AI

ITEM 1. BUSINESS. Overview We are a global retail company that operates the Vince brand women's and men's ready to wear business. Previously, the Company also owned and operated the Rebecca Taylor and Parker brands until the sale of the respective intellectual property was completed, as discussed below under "Recent Developments". We serve our customers through a variety of channels that reinforce the brand images. We have a select number of wholesale partners who account for a significant portion of our net sales. In fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2024, sales to one wholesale partner, Nordstrom Inc., accounted for more than ten percent of the Company's net sales. These sales represented 26% of…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from VNCE's filing dated 2026-04-16

Key risks

AI

ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS. The following risk factors should be carefully considered when evaluating our business in addition to the forward-looking statements included elsewhere in this Annual Report. See “Disclosures Regarding Forward-Looking Statements.” Any of the following factors could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to us or that we currently view as immaterial may also materially adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. All amounts disclosed are in thousands except shares, per share amounts, percentages, stores, and number of leases. Risks…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from VNCE's filing dated 2026-04-16

7.7
of 10

ActaClear Score

Above avg
#1 of 9 in Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores
+0.4 · 25d
Profitability·25%
9.6
Growth·15%
2.5
Value·20%
5.8
Quality·20%
8.8
Momentum·20%
10.0

Computed from 5 years of SEC fundamentals + latest market data, ranked within Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores (9 peers). 10 = best in industry, 5 = median, 0 = worst. Refreshed Jun 30, 2026.

2.23
Price / FV

Fair value · DCF

Deeply overvalued
~55% downside at this growth
-3.7% / yr
-5%30%
Terminal growthWACC 9.0% · 10y forecast
Market-implied growth at today's price: 4.6% / yrfor 10 years, holding WACC 9.0% and terminal 2.5%.
Current price
$7.72
DCF fair value
$3.47
FCF base (last FY)
$6.38M
Net debt
$18.96M
Methodology + caveats (click to expand)

Method. 10-year forecast of free cash flow, discounted at the company's WACC, with a Gordon-growth terminal at year 10. FCF is proxied by last fiscal-year net income (proper FCF needs CFO − CapEx by year, which we don't store yet). Beta defaults to 1.0 when not reported.

Why DCF is fragile. Treat the output as a thinking aid, not a verdict. Honest weaknesses of any DCF:

  • Growth is the dominant assumption. No one can foresee 10 years of growth — small changes in the slider can double or halve fair value. The reverse-DCF readout above tells you what the market is implicitly assuming; ask yourself whether that's realistic before trusting either number.
  • Terminal value dominates. In most DCFs, 60-80% of the answer comes from the terminal-value calculation — i.e., everything AFTER year 10. A 0.5pp change in terminal growth, or in WACC, can swing fair value by 20-30%.
  • WACC is itself a guess. We use a textbook CAPM cost of equity (Rf 4.3%, MRP 5.5%, β from the quote) plus a 6% pretax cost of debt — none of these are the company's actual marginal financing cost.
  • No moat / disruption modelling. The model assumes the company keeps earning whatever it earns today, compounding cleanly. Competitive shifts, regulatory action, and technology disruption can invalidate the forecast overnight.
  • Net income ≠ free cash flow. For capex-heavy names (semis, telcos) net income overstates distributable cash. For low-capex names (software) it understates. Both reduce the precision of the FV figure.
  • Reflexivity. A high stock price often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy via better hiring, financing, and customer trust. DCF can't see this.

Take the DCF, the reverse-DCF implied growth, the historical multiples, and the community sentiment together. When they agree, conviction. When they disagree, the disagreement is the most informative thing on the page.

Historical multiples

How does VNCE's current valuation compare to its own past?

Current P/E
15.6×
Own 5y average
19.9×
Own 5y median
5.4×
vs. own average
-22%
Industry 5y avg P/E
19.6×
Median P/E across the top 7 peers in Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores by market cap, then averaged across 6 years.
vs. industry
-20%
PEG (this co.)
5y revenue CAGR
-3.7%
Industry PEG
18337.66
Industry 5y avg growth
0.0%
Solid: this company. Dotted: industry median.
Dashed flat: own 5y avg.
Coloured dot at right: current P/E.

P/E uses year-end weekly close ÷ (net income ÷ shares outstanding today). Held shares constant at today's count, which understates the per-share earnings improvement from buybacks over the period. PEG uses 5y revenue CAGR as a proxy for EPS growth — close, but not identical (margin expansion or dilution can drive a wedge). Best read as a comparator across companies and industries, not as a precise replica of historical multiples.