Oil Royalty Traders · SIC 6792

LandBridge Co LLC

LB

Watch

Latest revenue

$51.0M

as of 2026-03-31

Latest net income

$8.7M

as of 2026-03-31

Net margin

17.1%

as of 2026-03-31

Community sentiment

Where do you think LB is heading?

1 month
6 months
12 months
5 years
Sign in free to vote and see community sentiment

Keep private notes on LB — thesis, target price, catalysts to watch.

Visible only to you. Never shared. Never used to train AI.

Sign in to add your own notes

LB vs S&P 500 · rebased to 100

+2.0% / yr 8.2 pts / yr vs S&P 500(S&P 500 +10.2% / yr) 10.4% total
Compare:
Early cycleMid cycleLate cycleRecession

Background shading marks the US business-cycle phase at each point in time — early, mid and late expansion, then recession— so you can see which economic backdrop each move happened in. Recessions are NBER-official; expansion sub-phases are ActaClear's editorial dating.

Lines:
Overlay:

Live market

delayed ≤15 min
$65.03
6.76%
Market cap
$1.51B
Enterprise value
$2.02B
P/E (trailing)
50.2×
Forward P/E
P/B
4.39×
Dividend yield
0.7%
52-wk high
$85.60
52-wk low
$43.75
Beta
Shares out
23.3M

What this company does

AI

LandBridge owns or manages over 315,000 surface acres in the Delaware Basin's Permian region, leasing the land to oil, gas, infrastructure, and digital customers. It earns money through surface-use royalties and fees, resource sales (brackish water, caliche, sand), and oil and gas mineral royalties, with customers covering nearly all capital costs. Revenue nearly doubled to $199 million in 2025, driven by deepening ties with affiliated water-midstream operator WaterBridge and expansion into data centers and power infrastructure on its acreage.

Generated from LB's filing dated 2026-02-26

Key risks

AI
  • Customer concentration: WaterBridge (sister company sharing sponsor Five Point and management) drives produced water royalties, creating related-party dependency and conflict-of-interest exposure.
  • Commodity exposure: revenues tied to Delaware Basin oil/gas activity; any Permian slowdown directly hits surface royalties, resource sales, and 4,400-acre mineral royalties.
  • Heavy share-based compensation: $45.3M in 2025 and $95.3M in 2024 dilutes shareholders and distorts GAAP earnings versus Free Cash Flow narrative.

Generated from LB's filing dated 2026-02-26

8.9
of 10

ActaClear Score

Strong
#1 of 10 in Oil Royalty Traders
+0.4 · 24d
Profitability·25%
8.9
Growth·15%
10.0
Value·20%
7.0
Quality·20%
10.0
Momentum·20%
8.9

Computed from 5 years of SEC fundamentals + latest market data, ranked within Oil Royalty Traders (10 peers). 10 = best in industry, 5 = median, 0 = worst. Refreshed Jun 29, 2026.

0.64
Price / FV

Fair value · DCF

Deeply undervalued
~56% upside at this growth
25.0% / yr
-5%30%
Terminal growthWACC 8.4% · 10y forecast
Market-implied growth at today's price: 20.3% / yrfor 10 years, holding WACC 8.4% and terminal 2.5%.
Current price
$65.03
DCF fair value
$102
FCF base (last FY)
$30.13M
Net debt
$528.85M
Methodology + caveats (click to expand)

Method. 10-year forecast of free cash flow, discounted at the company's WACC, with a Gordon-growth terminal at year 10. FCF is proxied by last fiscal-year net income (proper FCF needs CFO − CapEx by year, which we don't store yet). Beta defaults to 1.0 when not reported.

Why DCF is fragile. Treat the output as a thinking aid, not a verdict. Honest weaknesses of any DCF:

  • Growth is the dominant assumption. No one can foresee 10 years of growth — small changes in the slider can double or halve fair value. The reverse-DCF readout above tells you what the market is implicitly assuming; ask yourself whether that's realistic before trusting either number.
  • Terminal value dominates. In most DCFs, 60-80% of the answer comes from the terminal-value calculation — i.e., everything AFTER year 10. A 0.5pp change in terminal growth, or in WACC, can swing fair value by 20-30%.
  • WACC is itself a guess. We use a textbook CAPM cost of equity (Rf 4.3%, MRP 5.5%, β from the quote) plus a 6% pretax cost of debt — none of these are the company's actual marginal financing cost.
  • No moat / disruption modelling. The model assumes the company keeps earning whatever it earns today, compounding cleanly. Competitive shifts, regulatory action, and technology disruption can invalidate the forecast overnight.
  • Net income ≠ free cash flow. For capex-heavy names (semis, telcos) net income overstates distributable cash. For low-capex names (software) it understates. Both reduce the precision of the FV figure.
  • Reflexivity. A high stock price often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy via better hiring, financing, and customer trust. DCF can't see this.

Take the DCF, the reverse-DCF implied growth, the historical multiples, and the community sentiment together. When they agree, conviction. When they disagree, the disagreement is the most informative thing on the page.

Historical multiples

How does LB's current valuation compare to its own past?

Current P/E
50.2×
Own 5y average
40.1×
Own 5y median
40.1×
vs. own average
+25%
Industry 5y avg P/E
40.7×
Median P/E across the top 3 peers in Oil Royalty Traders by market cap, then averaged across 1 year.
vs. industry
+23%
PEG (this co.)
0.77
5y revenue CAGR
65.3%
Industry PEG
0.94
Industry 5y avg growth
43.4%
Solid: this company. Dotted: industry median.
Dashed flat: own 5y avg.
Coloured dot at right: current P/E.

P/E uses year-end weekly close ÷ (net income ÷ shares outstanding today). Held shares constant at today's count, which understates the per-share earnings improvement from buybacks over the period. PEG uses 5y revenue CAGR as a proxy for EPS growth — close, but not identical (margin expansion or dilution can drive a wedge). Best read as a comparator across companies and industries, not as a precise replica of historical multiples.