Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors · SIC 1600

STERLING INFRASTRUCTURE, INC.

STRL

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Latest revenue

$825.7M

as of 2026-03-31

Latest net income

$96.0M

as of 2026-03-31

Net margin

11.6%

as of 2026-03-31

Community sentiment

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STRL vs S&P 500 · rebased to 100

+105.7% / yr 86.0 pts / yr vs S&P 500(S&P 500 +19.7% / yr) 3540.4% total
Compare:

Live market

delayed ≤15 min
$842.23
5.56%
Market cap
$25.84B
Enterprise value
$25.62B
P/E (trailing)
89.1×
Forward P/E
P/B
21.73×
Dividend yield
0.0%
52-wk high
$1005.68
52-wk low
$191.00
Beta
Shares out
30.7M

What this company does

AI

Item 1. Business Overview of the Company’s Business Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (“Sterling” or “the Company”) operates through a variety of subsidiaries within three segments specializing in E-Infrastructure, Transportation and Building Solutions in the United States, primarily across the Southern, Northeastern, Mid-Atlantic and Rocky Mountain regions and the Pacific Islands. E-Infrastructure Solutions provides advanced, large-scale site development services and mission-critical electrical services for data centers, semiconductor fabrication, manufacturing, distribution centers, warehousing, power generation and more. Transportation Solutions includes infrastructure and rehabilitation…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from STRL's filing dated 2026-02-26

Key risks

AI

Item 1A. Risk Factors The following discussion of risk factors contains forward-looking statements. These risk factors may be important to understanding other statements in this annual report on Form 10-K. The following information should be read in conjunction with Part II, Item 7 “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and the Consolidated Financial Statements and related Notes in Part II, Item 8 “Financial Statements and Supplementary Data” of this annual report on Form 10-K. Our business, financial condition and operating results can be affected by a number of factors, whether currently known or unknown, including but not limited to those…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from STRL's filing dated 2026-02-26

7.5
of 10

ActaClear Score

Above avg
#1 of 12 in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors
+0.0 · 5d
Profitability·25%
8.8
Growth·15%
8.2
Value·20%
3.0
Quality·20%
9.1
Momentum·20%
8.2

Computed from 5 years of SEC fundamentals + latest market data, ranked within Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors (12 peers). 10 = best in industry, 5 = median, 0 = worst. Refreshed Jun 10, 2026.

3.28
Price / FV

Fair value · DCF

Deeply overvalued
~70% downside at this growth
11.8% / yr
-5%30%
Terminal growthWACC 9.7% · 10y forecast
Market-implied growth at today's price: 28.2% / yrfor 10 years, holding WACC 9.7% and terminal 2.5%.
Current price
$892
DCF fair value
$272
FCF base (last FY)
$290.15M
Net debt
$-114.82M
Methodology + caveats (click to expand)

Method. 10-year forecast of free cash flow, discounted at the company's WACC, with a Gordon-growth terminal at year 10. FCF is proxied by last fiscal-year net income (proper FCF needs CFO − CapEx by year, which we don't store yet). Beta defaults to 1.0 when not reported.

Why DCF is fragile. Treat the output as a thinking aid, not a verdict. Honest weaknesses of any DCF:

  • Growth is the dominant assumption. No one can foresee 10 years of growth — small changes in the slider can double or halve fair value. The reverse-DCF readout above tells you what the market is implicitly assuming; ask yourself whether that's realistic before trusting either number.
  • Terminal value dominates. In most DCFs, 60-80% of the answer comes from the terminal-value calculation — i.e., everything AFTER year 10. A 0.5pp change in terminal growth, or in WACC, can swing fair value by 20-30%.
  • WACC is itself a guess. We use a textbook CAPM cost of equity (Rf 4.3%, MRP 5.5%, β from the quote) plus a 6% pretax cost of debt — none of these are the company's actual marginal financing cost.
  • No moat / disruption modelling. The model assumes the company keeps earning whatever it earns today, compounding cleanly. Competitive shifts, regulatory action, and technology disruption can invalidate the forecast overnight.
  • Net income ≠ free cash flow. For capex-heavy names (semis, telcos) net income overstates distributable cash. For low-capex names (software) it understates. Both reduce the precision of the FV figure.
  • Reflexivity. A high stock price often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy via better hiring, financing, and customer trust. DCF can't see this.

Take the DCF, the reverse-DCF implied growth, the historical multiples, and the community sentiment together. When they agree, conviction. When they disagree, the disagreement is the most informative thing on the page.

Historical multiples

How does STRL's current valuation compare to its own past?

Current P/E
89.1×
Own 5y average
19.2×
Own 5y median
19.5×
vs. own average
+365%
Industry 5y avg P/E
28.7×
Median P/E across the top 10 peers in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors by market cap, then averaged across 6 years.
vs. industry
+211%
PEG (this co.)
7.57
5y revenue CAGR
11.8%
Industry PEG
7.98
Industry 5y avg growth
3.6%
Solid: this company. Dotted: industry median.
Dashed flat: own 5y avg.
Coloured dot at right: current P/E.

P/E uses year-end weekly close ÷ (net income ÷ shares outstanding today). Held shares constant at today's count, which understates the per-share earnings improvement from buybacks over the period. PEG uses 5y revenue CAGR as a proxy for EPS growth — close, but not identical (margin expansion or dilution can drive a wedge). Best read as a comparator across companies and industries, not as a precise replica of historical multiples.