Trucking (No Local) · SIC 4213

Schneider National, Inc.

SNDR

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Latest revenue

$1.40B

as of 2026-03-31

Latest net income

$20.4M

as of 2026-03-31

Net margin

1.5%

as of 2026-03-31

Community sentiment

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SNDR vs S&P 500 · rebased to 100

+10.3% / yr 9.4 pts / yr vs S&P 500(S&P 500 +19.7% / yr) 62.8% total
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Market data

Price feed temporarily unavailable for SNDR.

What this company does

AI

ITEM 1. BUSINESS Certain acronyms and terms used throughout this Annual Report are specific to our Company, commonly used in our industry, or are otherwise frequently used throughout our document. Definitions for these acronyms and terms are provided in the “Glossary of Terms” available at the front of this document. References to “Notes” are to the notes to consolidated financial statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K. Company Overview Schneider National, Inc. and its subsidiaries (collectively “Schneider,” the “Company,” “we,” “us,” or “our”) are among North America’s leading providers of multimodal transportation and logistics solutions. Our comprehensive and diverse…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from SNDR's filing dated 2026-02-20

Key risks

AI

Table of Contents ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS Cautionary Statement Concerning Forward-Looking Statements This Annual Report on Form 10-K contains certain statements regarding business strategies, market potential, future financial performance, future action, results, and any other statements that do not directly relate to any historical or current fact which are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), the Exchange Act, and the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “project,” “estimate,” “budget,” “continue,” “could,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,”…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from SNDR's filing dated 2026-02-20

5.5
of 10

ActaClear Score

Neutral
#7 of 13 in Trucking (No Local)
+0.1 · 5d
Profitability·25%
5.8
Growth·15%
4.2
Value·20%
6.4
Quality·20%
5.8
Momentum·20%
5.0

Computed from 5 years of SEC fundamentals + latest market data, ranked within Trucking (No Local) (13 peers). 10 = best in industry, 5 = median, 0 = worst. Refreshed Jun 10, 2026.

4.86
Price / FV

Fair value · DCF

Deeply overvalued
~79% downside at this growth
4.5% / yr
-5%30%
Terminal growthWACC 9.5% · 10y forecast
Market-implied growth at today's price: 23.2% / yrfor 10 years, holding WACC 9.5% and terminal 2.5%.
Current price
$37.19
DCF fair value
$7.65
FCF base (last FY)
$103.60M
Net debt
$390.90M
Methodology + caveats (click to expand)

Method. 10-year forecast of free cash flow, discounted at the company's WACC, with a Gordon-growth terminal at year 10. FCF is proxied by last fiscal-year net income (proper FCF needs CFO − CapEx by year, which we don't store yet). Beta defaults to 1.0 when not reported.

Why DCF is fragile. Treat the output as a thinking aid, not a verdict. Honest weaknesses of any DCF:

  • Growth is the dominant assumption. No one can foresee 10 years of growth — small changes in the slider can double or halve fair value. The reverse-DCF readout above tells you what the market is implicitly assuming; ask yourself whether that's realistic before trusting either number.
  • Terminal value dominates. In most DCFs, 60-80% of the answer comes from the terminal-value calculation — i.e., everything AFTER year 10. A 0.5pp change in terminal growth, or in WACC, can swing fair value by 20-30%.
  • WACC is itself a guess. We use a textbook CAPM cost of equity (Rf 4.3%, MRP 5.5%, β from the quote) plus a 6% pretax cost of debt — none of these are the company's actual marginal financing cost.
  • No moat / disruption modelling. The model assumes the company keeps earning whatever it earns today, compounding cleanly. Competitive shifts, regulatory action, and technology disruption can invalidate the forecast overnight.
  • Net income ≠ free cash flow. For capex-heavy names (semis, telcos) net income overstates distributable cash. For low-capex names (software) it understates. Both reduce the precision of the FV figure.
  • Reflexivity. A high stock price often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy via better hiring, financing, and customer trust. DCF can't see this.

Take the DCF, the reverse-DCF implied growth, the historical multiples, and the community sentiment together. When they agree, conviction. When they disagree, the disagreement is the most informative thing on the page.

Historical multiples

How does SNDR's current valuation compare to its own past?

Current P/E
64.2×
Own 5y average
26.5×
Own 5y median
19.1×
vs. own average
+143%
Industry 5y avg P/E
23.9×
Median P/E across the top 12 peers in Trucking (No Local) by market cap, then averaged across 5 years.
vs. industry
+168%
PEG (this co.)
14.26
5y revenue CAGR
4.5%
Industry PEG
4.59
Industry 5y avg growth
5.2%
Solid: this company. Dotted: industry median.
Dashed flat: own 5y avg.
Coloured dot at right: current P/E.

P/E uses year-end weekly close ÷ (net income ÷ shares outstanding today). Held shares constant at today's count, which understates the per-share earnings improvement from buybacks over the period. PEG uses 5y revenue CAGR as a proxy for EPS growth — close, but not identical (margin expansion or dilution can drive a wedge). Best read as a comparator across companies and industries, not as a precise replica of historical multiples.