Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance · SIC 6331

MARKEL GROUP INC.

MKL

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Latest revenue

$255.9M

as of 2026-03-31

Latest net income

$-212.3M

as of 2026-03-31

Net margin

-83.0%

as of 2026-03-31

Community sentiment

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MKL vs S&P 500 · rebased to 100

+8.6% / yr 11.1 pts / yr vs S&P 500(S&P 500 +19.7% / yr) 50.8% total
Compare:

Live market

delayed ≤15 min
$1813.79
0.99%
Market cap
$22.70B
Enterprise value
$9.14B
P/E (trailing)
10.8×
Forward P/E
P/B
1.25×
Dividend yield
0.0%
52-wk high
$2207.59
52-wk low
$1719.41
Beta
Shares out
12.5M

What this company does

AI

Item 1. BUSINESS Markel Group is a holding company that owns independently operated businesses across a range of industries. The cornerstone business, Markel Insurance, provides specialized insurance products that are not typically available through the standard insurance market. This insurance business sits at the center of the Company's strategy. It generates and holds capital used to support growth and investment across Markel Group. The other majority-owned businesses operate in diverse end markets, from industrial bakery equipment to ornamental plants to precast concrete. Markel Group also owns shares in publicly traded companies, primarily within its insurance operations. Markel Group…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from MKL's filing dated 2026-02-26

Key risks

AI

Item 1A. RISK FACTORS A wide range of factors could materially affect our future prospects and performance. The matters addressed in Item 7 Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, including under "Safe Harbor and Cautionary Statement" and "Critical Accounting Estimates", and Item 7A Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk, as well as other information included or incorporated in this report, describe many of the significant risks that could affect our businesses, results of operations and financial condition. We are also subject to the risks discussed below. One or more of the risks discussed in this Item 1A. Risk Factors,…

AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt

Generated from MKL's filing dated 2026-02-26

4.9
of 10

ActaClear Score

Neutral
#47 of 74 in Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
-0.2 · 5d
Profitability·25%
5.1
Growth·15%
5.8
Value·20%
3.9
Quality·20%
6.6
Momentum·20%
3.3

Computed from 5 years of SEC fundamentals + latest market data, ranked within Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance (74 peers). 10 = best in industry, 5 = median, 0 = worst. Refreshed Jun 10, 2026.

0.41
Price / FV

Fair value · DCF

Deeply undervalued
~146% upside at this growth
9.8% / yr
-5%30%
Terminal growthWACC 9.0% · 10y forecast
Market-implied growth at today's price: -1.4% / yrfor 10 years, holding WACC 9.0% and terminal 2.5%.
Current price
$1,797
DCF fair value
$4,428
FCF base (last FY)
$2.11B
Net debt
$2.27B
Methodology + caveats (click to expand)

Method. 10-year forecast of free cash flow, discounted at the company's WACC, with a Gordon-growth terminal at year 10. FCF is proxied by last fiscal-year net income (proper FCF needs CFO − CapEx by year, which we don't store yet). Beta defaults to 1.0 when not reported.

Why DCF is fragile. Treat the output as a thinking aid, not a verdict. Honest weaknesses of any DCF:

  • Growth is the dominant assumption. No one can foresee 10 years of growth — small changes in the slider can double or halve fair value. The reverse-DCF readout above tells you what the market is implicitly assuming; ask yourself whether that's realistic before trusting either number.
  • Terminal value dominates. In most DCFs, 60-80% of the answer comes from the terminal-value calculation — i.e., everything AFTER year 10. A 0.5pp change in terminal growth, or in WACC, can swing fair value by 20-30%.
  • WACC is itself a guess. We use a textbook CAPM cost of equity (Rf 4.3%, MRP 5.5%, β from the quote) plus a 6% pretax cost of debt — none of these are the company's actual marginal financing cost.
  • No moat / disruption modelling. The model assumes the company keeps earning whatever it earns today, compounding cleanly. Competitive shifts, regulatory action, and technology disruption can invalidate the forecast overnight.
  • Net income ≠ free cash flow. For capex-heavy names (semis, telcos) net income overstates distributable cash. For low-capex names (software) it understates. Both reduce the precision of the FV figure.
  • Reflexivity. A high stock price often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy via better hiring, financing, and customer trust. DCF can't see this.

Take the DCF, the reverse-DCF implied growth, the historical multiples, and the community sentiment together. When they agree, conviction. When they disagree, the disagreement is the most informative thing on the page.

Historical multiples

How does MKL's current valuation compare to its own past?

Current P/E
10.8×
Own 5y average
9.0×
Own 5y median
8.4×
vs. own average
+19%
Industry 5y avg P/E
10.6×
Median P/E across the top 40 peers in Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance by market cap, then averaged across 5 years.
vs. industry
+2%
PEG (this co.)
1.10
5y revenue CAGR
9.8%
Industry PEG
0.77
Industry 5y avg growth
13.8%
Current P/B
1.25×
Own 5y avg P/B
1.25×
Industry 5y avg P/B
1.30×
vs. industry P/B
-4%
P/B shown for insurer names because P/E gets distorted by credit-cycle losses, non-cash depreciation, and reserve movements. Book equity is a more stable franchise-value signal here.
Solid: this company. Dotted: industry median.
Dashed flat: own 5y avg.
Coloured dot at right: current P/E.

P/E uses year-end weekly close ÷ (net income ÷ shares outstanding today). Held shares constant at today's count, which understates the per-share earnings improvement from buybacks over the period. PEG uses 5y revenue CAGR as a proxy for EPS growth — close, but not identical (margin expansion or dilution can drive a wedge). Best read as a comparator across companies and industries, not as a precise replica of historical multiples.