Latest revenue
$187.0M
as of 2026-03-31
Latest net income
$191.0M
as of 2026-03-31
Net margin
102.1%
as of 2026-03-31
Community sentiment
Where do you think AFGD is heading?
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AFGD vs S&P 500 · rebased to 100
Live market
delayed ≤15 min- Market cap
- $1.61B
- Enterprise value
- $2.08B
- P/E (trailing)
- 1.9×
- Forward P/E
- —
- P/B
- 0.34×
- Dividend yield
- 7.2%
- 52-wk high
- $22.80
- 52-wk low
- $19.35
- Beta
- —
- Shares out
- 83.1M
What this company does
Item 1. Business Introduction American Financial Group, Inc. (“AFG” or the “Company”) is an insurance holding company. Through the operations of Great American Insurance Group, AFG is engaged in property and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for businesses. AFG’s in-house team of investment professionals oversees the Company’s investment portfolio. The members of the Great American Insurance Group have been in business for over 150 years. Management believes that over 55% of the 2025 gross written premiums in AFG’s Specialty property and casualty group are produced by businesses that rank in the “top 10” amongst competitors based on gross written premiums.…
AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt
Generated from AFGD's filing dated 2026-02-25
Key risks
Item 1A. Risk Factors In addition to the other information set forth in this report, particularly information under “Forward-Looking Statements” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” the following are the material factors affecting AFG’s business. Any one of these factors, or multiple factors in combination, could cause AFG’s actual results to vary materially from recent results or from anticipated future results. Additional risks and uncertainties not currently known to AFG or that AFG currently deems to be immaterial also may materially adversely affect AFG’s business, financial condition or results of operations. RISKS RELATING TO…
AI summary unavailable — showing raw filing excerpt
Generated from AFGD's filing dated 2026-02-25
ActaClear Score
Computed from 5 years of SEC fundamentals + latest market data, ranked within Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance (74 peers). 10 = best in industry, 5 = median, 0 = worst. Refreshed Jun 13, 2026.
Fair value · DCF
Methodology + caveats (click to expand)
Method. 10-year forecast of free cash flow, discounted at the company's WACC, with a Gordon-growth terminal at year 10. FCF is proxied by last fiscal-year net income (proper FCF needs CFO − CapEx by year, which we don't store yet). Beta defaults to 1.0 when not reported.
Why DCF is fragile. Treat the output as a thinking aid, not a verdict. Honest weaknesses of any DCF:
- Growth is the dominant assumption. No one can foresee 10 years of growth — small changes in the slider can double or halve fair value. The reverse-DCF readout above tells you what the market is implicitly assuming; ask yourself whether that's realistic before trusting either number.
- Terminal value dominates. In most DCFs, 60-80% of the answer comes from the terminal-value calculation — i.e., everything AFTER year 10. A 0.5pp change in terminal growth, or in WACC, can swing fair value by 20-30%.
- WACC is itself a guess. We use a textbook CAPM cost of equity (Rf 4.3%, MRP 5.5%, β from the quote) plus a 6% pretax cost of debt — none of these are the company's actual marginal financing cost.
- No moat / disruption modelling. The model assumes the company keeps earning whatever it earns today, compounding cleanly. Competitive shifts, regulatory action, and technology disruption can invalidate the forecast overnight.
- Net income ≠ free cash flow. For capex-heavy names (semis, telcos) net income overstates distributable cash. For low-capex names (software) it understates. Both reduce the precision of the FV figure.
- Reflexivity. A high stock price often becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy via better hiring, financing, and customer trust. DCF can't see this.
Take the DCF, the reverse-DCF implied growth, the historical multiples, and the community sentiment together. When they agree, conviction. When they disagree, the disagreement is the most informative thing on the page.
Historical multiples
How does AFGD's current valuation compare to its own past?
P/E uses year-end weekly close ÷ (net income ÷ shares outstanding today). Held shares constant at today's count, which understates the per-share earnings improvement from buybacks over the period. PEG uses 5y revenue CAGR as a proxy for EPS growth — close, but not identical (margin expansion or dilution can drive a wedge). Best read as a comparator across companies and industries, not as a precise replica of historical multiples.